Ongoing Research

This is where you can find my current working papers.

Really Useful Synthetic Data — Promises and Challenges of Releasing Sensitive Information With Differentially Private Data Synthesizers

Marcel Neunhoeffer and I develop a framework to measure the utility of differentially private synthetic data. [paper]

Scaling Lower Court Decisions

Benjamin Engst, Thomas Gschwend and I propose a model that measures legal decisions of lower courts using widely available citations of legal sources. We show that some German Landgerichte indeed have a bias and use it to engage in ‘forum selling’. [paper]

How Presidents Answer the Call of International Capital

David Doyle, Nina Wiesehomeier and I show how Latin American Presidents use their state-of-the-union speeches to strategically communicate with International Captial Markets. [paper]

Hidden in Plain Sight? Detecting Electoral Irregularities Using Statutory Results

In this paper with Michelle Brown (NDI), J. Andrew Harris (NYU AD) and Zach Warner (Cardiff) we argue that the literature on electoral fraud suffers from its reliance on an ideal election as a baseline case, and delineate an alternative data-generating process for the irregularities often seen in developing democracies: benign human error. Using computer vision and deep learning tools, we identify statutory irregularities for each of 30,000 polling stations in Kenya’s 2013 presidential election. [paper]